Welcome to Wild Pitches

Casual fans see the final score. Dedicated fans follow the standings. But the truly curious ask why a team’s record looks the way it does. In this new section of the blog, we go beyond the traditional stats you’ll find in the box score or hear repeated during game broadcasts. We dig into the subtle numbers, the patterns hiding in plain sight, crazy wins and losses, and the trends that hint at what’s really going on beneath a team’s win-loss column.

Take the Mets, for example. If it feels like they’ve burned through their bullpen this year, you’re not alone—but the numbers tell a more nuanced story. Through early May, they ranked 15th in total relief appearances across MLB. So what’s behind that gut feeling? Could it be that the Mets aren’t cycling through arms quickly, but instead leaning too heavily on the same few relievers each night? Maybe the eye test is noticing something the stats don’t show—until you dig a little deeper.

That’s exactly what this space is for. We’ll unpack the things that don’t get discussed on SportsCenter or in post-game pressers: bullpen usage quirks, pitch sequencing trends, unexpected lineup efficiencies, and more. If you’ve ever found yourself thinking, “That seems weird…” while watching a game, this is the place where we’ll chase that hunch with data.

Pick the best caption

Mets fans! Help pick the best caption for this cartoon!

1. “Can’t swat the gNats!”

2. “Drat the gNats!”

3. “Those gNats are pests!”

Mets Pitching Will Be Tested Against Top-Hitting Cardinals

After dropping two of three to the Twins—despite both teams scoring 11 runs in the series—the Mets now face the Cardinals. That near sweep got me wondering: how have the Mets fared against St. Louis lately?

Since 2020, the Mets are 15–12 against the Cardinals, including just 5–8 at home. And the last time the Mets swept the Cardinals at home was all the way back in 1988. It’s the only time it’s ever happened. That was before Citi Field, before Mike Piazza, and before most of today’s roster was even born.

That 1988 Mets team won 100 games. Darryl Strawberry led the league with 39 home runs, and Dwight Gooden went 18–9 with a 3.19 ERA. It’s been a while.

This season, the Cardinals are sitting at 9–9, right in the middle of the NL Central, while the Mets lead the NL East at 11–7. But here’s the twist: the Cardinals lead the majors with a team batting average of .280. The Mets? They rank 22nd at .219—a 61-point gap.

So how are the Mets winning? Pitching. Until the Twins series, their staff had been in lockdown mode, keeping runs off the board and covering for an offense that acted like it had to pay a silent penalty every time it reached base.

Seven Mets batters are barely treading water at the plate. Four haven’t even cracked .200—and one is barely visible:

  • José Siti: .050 (That’s not a typo.)
  • Mark Vientos: .145
  • Tyrone Taylor: .163
  • Starling Marte: .167
  • Brett Baty: .175
  • Jesse Winker: .200
  • Brandon Nimmo: .203

If I hit like that in Little League, I never would’ve made it off the bench.

And while batting average isn’t the most fashionable stat these days—on-base percentage is the current darling—it’s still hard for me, as an old-school fan, to ignore how poor these numbers are.

Where does that leave us for tonight’s game? Griffin Canning is starting for the Queens men. He faced the Cardinals once last season, throwing six innings for San Diego and notching the win. Before that, in two other starts—one in 2023 and one in 2019—he split the results, with one win and one loss. Given his win against the Cardinals last year as a Padre and the Mets’ adjustments to his pitching, I’m hoping Canning can keep them from outscoring the Mets tonight during his time on the mound.